Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.106344 9.037599 10.086017 11.365052 12.898945 14.699843 17.005477
2025-01-19 6.524648 7.690372 9.120695 11.045962 13.637827 17.115763 22.346530
2025-01-26 5.733957 7.003956 8.652962 11.029047 14.511644 19.704801 28.683350
2025-02-02 5.481453 6.919250 8.888084 11.920658 16.772147 24.895918 41.508234
2025-02-09 5.187639 6.717785 8.903071 12.458370 18.591107 30.013328 57.703848
2025-02-16 4.828807 6.370835 8.642735 12.496355 19.552586 33.921235 74.676738
2025-02-23 4.617230 6.207947 8.627639 12.916095 21.296923 40.211120 105.788369
2025-03-02 4.248056 5.769930 8.125379 12.402706 21.078132 41.898668 124.293408
2025-03-09 3.963985 5.437168 7.755983 12.068908 21.149940 44.388195 151.212113
2025-03-16 3.748838 5.193588 7.507175 11.918761 21.583660 48.129551 194.491383
2025-03-23 3.658055 5.138022 7.565499 12.360199 23.489395 57.557354 316.726534
2025-03-30 3.459088 4.892456 7.272363 12.059506 23.517024 60.771201 410.035271
2025-04-06 3.222872 4.587634 6.879351 11.568264 23.122564 62.988882 534.957944
2025-04-13 3.026402 4.339248 6.572229 11.231136 23.109291 67.153415 794.120398
2025-04-20 2.894304 4.188263 6.425555 11.213397 23.985036 76.345208 1651.614408
2025-04-27 2.890825 4.253437 6.681035 12.127513 27.984222 108.364704 50815.024580
2025-05-04 2.840341 4.232346 6.770002 12.679211 31.168938 145.254516 NaN
2025-05-11 2.738969 4.113549 6.655847 12.718195 32.612365 174.251648 NaN
2025-05-18 2.684026 4.073638 6.694082 13.149076 35.805938 237.698902 NaN
2025-05-25 2.544303 3.870982 6.384064 12.622086 34.875270 245.149941 NaN
2025-06-01 2.431560 3.712167 6.153496 12.279589 34.648711 265.434026 NaN
2025-06-08 2.343612 3.594493 5.999814 12.125567 35.226938 306.490909 NaN
2025-06-15 2.312608 3.580494 6.061922 12.578464 38.905147 461.420152 NaN